Trump's G11 plan and his attempt to form an "anti-China" coalition
The idea of expanding
G7 is not only because this group is "outdated" but also President
Trump's plan to form an anti-China alliance.
US President Donald Trump
plans to invite Australia, India, South Korea and Russia to join the upcoming
G7 Summit, a move many observers think Trump is trying to build an alliance to
curb the influence of China.
President Trump has not yet
revealed whether he wants to turn G7 into G11 permanently, but he confirmed on
30/5 that he wants to invite the four countries to attend the G7 Summit and
"criticize" this group has now "very" obsolete".
White House spokesman
Alyssa Farah said President Trump wants the summit to discuss China and
announce a escalation of tensions between Washington and Beijing over issues
such as how to handle them. Covid-19 and Hong Kong.
Both Korea and Australia
are long-standing American allies. Australia even backed the call to
conduct an independent investigation into the origin of the Covid-19 epidemic,
as well as expressed concern about the Hong Kong security law passed by the Chinese
National Assembly.
India, which lies at the
center of America's Pacific strategic region, also has a series of
disagreements with China, including current border tensions in Ladakh.
However, Russia is the
country that is building strategic partnerships and economic relations with
China. It was also the country that was removed from the G8 at the time of
Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea.
However, Trump has made several suggestions
that the country should return to the G7 due to Moscow's global strategic importance.
Anti-China Alliance
President Trump is trying
to mobilize support from US allies to contain China, '' said Ni Feng, director
of the American Research Institute at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
"Mr. Trump's intention is simple: isolate China. This is just the beginning and more restraint measures will be in place."
said Ni.
John Lee, a senior scholar
at the Hudson Institute and think tank in Washington, said the US "may be
seeking to promote a policy that puts responsibility on China as it fails to
control Covid-19." and let this pandemic spread. "
The emergence of this new
group will make China nervous when it is "excluded from forming
organizations," said Lee, who is also an expert at the American Research
Center at the University of Sydney.
China has sought to
increase influence in multilateral institutions and organizations over the past
decade, which has accompanied the emergence of economic power and is a growing
concern with the United States.
For example, President
Trump cited China's growing influence in the World Health Organization (WHO)
when he announced that the United States would end its relationship with the
organization.
The idea of expanding
G7 (including the United States, Italy, Germany, France, Britain, Japan and
Canada) is Mr. Trump's latest attempt to establish an international alliance
without China.
On May 29, Britain said it
was urging the United States to form a club of 10 countries that could develop
5G technology on its own and reduce its dependence on China's Huawei group.
On the economic front, the
United States has launched an initiative called the Economic Prosperity Network
to bring nations and businesses together to "operate on a common system of
values".
Shahar Hameiri, a professor
at the University of Queensland's School of Political Science and International
Studies, said it was necessary to "frankly evaluate" that President
Trump's plan to expand the G7 involves increasing confrontation between the US
and China.
"Perhaps we are at a time when the separation between the two major countries, the US and China, takes place. This is reflected in increased efforts to develop more platforms or organize international policy and exclude Chinese participation."
said Shahar Hameiri.
The analyst said China
could experience a "big blow" if it were excluded from any new US-led
initiative that could "promote another form of international economic
organization." separate from the globalization system that China is
benefiting from. "
Cautious allies
Wang Wen, executive
director of the Chongyang Financial Research Institute at Renmin University in
Beijing, said the US would not be able to "form a global Cold War
frontline against China".
"Other countries do
not want to choose between the United States and China." Wang said, adding
that the delay in holding the G7 Summit reflected the US weakness in the
context that the country could not. Full control of Covid-19 translation.
President Trump had hoped
to hold the G7 Summit in June to show that life had "returned to
normal" during the Covid-19 epidemic, but that plan was not possible after
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Prime Minister. German Chancellor
Angela Merkel declined the invitation.
President Trump said he
wants leaders to meet in Washington in September or later.
Shahar Hameiri also said
that it is still unclear whether any significant changes in the G7 would not
take place. The countries in the G7 as well as those related to President
Trump's new plan have both business and commercial interests with
China.
Therefore, reaching an overall consensus in efforts to contain and
isolate China will not be easy. For example, despite the
current tensions between China and Australia regarding the Covid-19 origin
investigation, China remains Australia's largest trading partner and largest
exporter.
James Laurenceson, director
of the Australia-China Institute for Relations at Sydney University of
Technology, said Australian officials were very cautious about President
Trump's proposal.
"This is clearly an attempt to mobilize an anti-China group by President Trump, Australia's largest trading partner, and bring Russia into this process, which Australia has publicly criticized earlier. And I think I will agree with this plan."
expert Laurenceson said.
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